Prediction Updated: Sunday October 23, 2022
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Lightweight
Khabib Nurmagomedov 68 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Lightweight
Dustin Poirier 32 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 97 | Performance | 88 | B+ |
| A+ | 99 | Power | 95 | A |
|
A+
|
99
|
Offensive |
97
|
A
|
|
A
|
96
|
Defensive |
88
|
B+
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Performance | 31 |
| 2 | Power | 12 |
| 1 | Offensive | 7 |
| 10 | Defensive | 29 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 13-0 (100%) | Overall | 22-8 (73.3%) |
| 0-0 (0%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 0-1 (0%) |
| 10-0 (100%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 17-8 (68%) |
| 3-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 5-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 2-3 (40%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lightweight #25 Justin Gaethje (9-5) 2020-10-24 UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje Round 2 SUB Triangle Choke | Best Win | Lightweight #19 Dan Hooker (14-8) 2020-06-27 UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker Round 5 U-DEC |
| Khabib Nurmagomedov has not lost to any currently ranked opponents. | Worst Loss | Featherweight #65 Chan Sung Jung (7-5) 2012-05-15 UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier Round 4 SUB D'Arce Choke |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 7 (53.8%) | Finishes | 15 (50%) |
| 2 (15.4%) | KOs | 11 (36.7%) |
| 5 (38.5%) | Submissions | 4 (13.3%) |
| 6 (46.2%) | Decisions | 7 (23.3%) |
| 137-99 | Opponent Record | 302-181 |
| 46.2 | Average Opponent Rank | 34.5 |
| W 13 | Long Streak | W 5 |
| W 13 | Current Streak | L 1 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2020-10-24 Lightweight #25 Justin Gaethje (9-5) Round 2 SUB Triangle Choke UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje |
L 2024-06-01 Lightweight #1 Islam Makhachev (16-1) Round 5 SUB D'Arce Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
|
| W 2019-09-07 Lightweight #31 Dustin Poirier (22-8) Round 3 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier |
W 2024-03-09 Lightweight #26 Benoit Saint Denis (6-3) Round 2 KO/TKO Punch UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 |
|
| W 2018-10-06 Lightweight Conor McGregor (10-4) Round 4 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor |
L 2023-07-29 Lightweight #25 Justin Gaethje (9-5) Round 2 KO/TKO Kick UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 |
|
| W 2018-04-07 Lightweight Al Iaquinta (9-6) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta |
W 2022-11-12 Lightweight #87 Michael Chandler (2-5) Round 3 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira |
|
| W 2017-12-30 Lightweight #51 Edson Barboza (18-12) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm |
L 2021-12-11 Lightweight #13 Charles Oliveira (23-11) Round 3 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier |